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Torino - Genoa

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 8
  • Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
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    Torino Genoa
    Torino Genoa
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.85 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.07 ↑
    (3.07)    		 3.19 ↓
    (3.42)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Torino
    35.4%    		Draw
    32.9%    		Genoa
    31.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    41.2% 31% 27.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    41.7% 30.6% 27.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torino's form might have worsened.
  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    63% 29.6% 7.4%

    Torino - Genoa Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 42.8% โ€“ 80.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Genoa (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Torino (1.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 6 - 50%). Genoa (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ItalyPaleari A. (G)
    61. CameroonTameze A.
    13. ChileMaripan G.
    23. EquatorialCoco S.
    16. NorwayPedersen M.
    22. ItalyCasadei C.
    32. AlbaniaAsllani K.
    34. ItalyBiraghi C.
    10. CroatiaVlasic N. (C)
    18. ArgentinaSimeone G.
    19. ScotlandAdams C.
    		  1. ItalyLeali N. (G)
    20. ItalySabelli S.
      5. NorwayOstigard L.
    22. MexicoVasquez J. (C)
    77. IcelandEllertsson M. E.
    73. ItalyMasini P.
    32. DenmarkFrendrup M.
    15. EnglandNorton-Cuffy B.
    17. UkraineMalinovskyi R.
      2. NorwayThorsby M.
    21. ItalyEkhator J.
    Substitutes
      7. MoroccoAboukhlal Z.
    21. FranceDembele A.
    66. LithuaniaGineitis G.
      8. SerbiaIlic I.
      6. TurkeyIlkhan E.
    44. AlbaniaIsmajli A.
    20. AustriaLazaro V.
      5. MoroccoMasina A.
    26. BelgiumNgonge C.
    92. SwedenNjie A.
    71. RomaniaPopa M. (G)
    99. ItalySiviero L. (G)
    91. ColombiaZapata D.
    		23. ArgentinaCarboni V.
    29. ItalyColombo L.
    70. IvoryCornet M.
    30. ParaguayCuenca Martinez H. F.
    18. GhanaEkuban C.
    40. ItalyFini S.
    11. DenmarkGronbaek A.
    10. BrazilJunior Messias
      3. SpainMartin A.
    14. CameroonOnana J.
    34. DenmarkOtoa S.
    31. SwitzerlandSiegrist B. (G)
    39. ItalySommariva D. (G)
    76. ItalyVenturino L.
      9. PortugalVitinha
    Coaches
         ItalyBaroni M.
    		     FranceVieira P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 5', Frendrup M. 🟨,
    • 7', 0 - 1, Thorsby M. ⚽,
    • 29', Casadei C. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 53', Ekhator J. 🟨,
    • 59', Vlasic N. 🟨,
    • 60', Asllani K. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
    • 60', Biraghi C. ↓, Lazaro V. ↑,
    • 60', Vlasic N. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
    • 61', Ekhator J. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
    • 63', 1 - 1, Sabelli S. (Own goal),
    • 73', Adams C. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
    • 78', Frendrup M. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
    • 78', Sabelli S. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
    • 83', Simeone G. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
    • 87', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
    • 87', Thorsby M. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
    • 90', 2 - 1, Maripan G. ⚽, Lazaro V. (A),

    Preview

  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1.
  • Recent performances by Torino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Genoa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Torino might have a minor edge in this game.
  • There will not play in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Thigh Injury) Nkounkou N. (Muscle Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Genoa: Marcandalli A. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Torino: Anjorin F. (Foot Injury) Pedersen M. (Head Injury)
  • There are questionable in Genoa: Junior Messias (Thigh Injury) Stanciu N. (Thigh Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Torino FC
    Italian Serie A
    18.10.25 Torino - Napoli 1:0 ✺
    04.10.25 Lazio - Torino 3:3 ✺
    29.09.25 Parma - Torino 2:1 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    25.09.25 Torino - Pisa 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    21.09.25 Torino - Atalanta 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6
    WTLWL
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    19.10.25 Genoa - Parma 0:0 ✺
    05.10.25 Napoli - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    29.09.25 Genoa - Lazio 0:3 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    25.09.25 Genoa - Empoli 3:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    20.09.25 Bologna - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7
    TLLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    08.02.25 Torino - Genoa 1:1
    07.12.24 Genoa - Torino 0:0
    13.01.24 Genoa - Torino 0:0
    03.09.23 Torino - Genoa 1:0
    18.03.22 Genoa - Torino 1:0
    22.10.21 Torino - Genoa 3:2
    13.02.21 Torino - Genoa 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Torino FC
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Frosinone - Torino ✺
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lecce - Genoa ✺
    28.10.26 Genoa - Juventus ✺

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