Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Torino		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.55	Watch
	2.35	2.99	3.71
	4.65	3.54	1.76	Watch
	2.49	3.03	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)	3.07 ↑ (3.07)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
35.4%

Draw
32.9%

Genoa
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torino's form might have worsened.

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	29.6%	7.4%

Torino - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Genoa (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Torino (1.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 6 - 50%). Genoa (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paleari A. (G) 61. Tameze A. 13. Maripan G. 23. Coco S. 16. Pedersen M. 22. Casadei C. 32. Asllani K. 34. Biraghi C. 10. Vlasic N. (C) 18. Simeone G. 19. Adams C.	1. Leali N. (G) 20. Sabelli S. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 73. Masini P. 32. Frendrup M. 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 17. Malinovskyi R. 2. Thorsby M. 21. Ekhator J.
Substitutes
7. Aboukhlal Z. 21. Dembele A. 66. Gineitis G. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 44. Ismajli A. 20. Lazaro V. 5. Masina A. 26. Ngonge C. 92. Njie A. 71. Popa M. (G) 99. Siviero L. (G) 91. Zapata D.	23. Carboni V. 29. Colombo L. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 18. Ekuban C. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 10. Junior Messias 3. Martin A. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 76. Venturino L. 9. Vitinha
Coaches
Baroni M.	Vieira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Frendrup M. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Thorsby M. ⚽,
29', Casadei C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Ekhator J. 🟨,
59', Vlasic N. 🟨,
60', Asllani K. ↓, Ismajli A. ↑,
60', Biraghi C. ↓, Lazaro V. ↑,
60', Vlasic N. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
61', Ekhator J. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Sabelli S. (Own goal),
73', Adams C. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
78', Frendrup M. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
78', Sabelli S. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
83', Simeone G. ↓, Zapata D. ↑,
87', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
87', Thorsby M. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Maripan G. ⚽, Lazaro V. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 1.

Recent performances by Torino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Genoa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Torino might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Thigh Injury) Nkounkou N. (Muscle Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Marcandalli A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Anjorin F. (Foot Injury) Pedersen M. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Junior Messias (Thigh Injury) Stanciu N. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Torino - Napoli	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Torino - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTLWL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Torino - Genoa	1:1
07.12.24	Genoa - Torino	0:0
13.01.24	Genoa - Torino	0:0
03.09.23	Torino - Genoa	1:0
18.03.22	Genoa - Torino	1:0
22.10.21	Torino - Genoa	3:2
13.02.21	Torino - Genoa	0:0

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