Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Milan		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8.5	Watch
	1.39	4.8	7.75
	1.39	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.37	5	10.25
	1.37	5.07	9.66	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8.5
	1.39	5.1	8.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	4.9 ↓ (5.19)	8.87 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
69.7%

Draw
19.5%

Torino
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Milan - Torino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 50%). Torino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 9. Fullkrug N. 11. Pulisic C.	1. Paleari A. (G) 23. Coco S. 44. Ismajli A. 77. Ebosse E. 16. Pedersen M. 10. Vlasic N. 4. Prati M. 66. Gineitis G. 33. Obrador R. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 2. Estupinan P. 7. Gimenez S. 30. Jashari A. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Lazaro V. 35. Marianucci L. 13. Maripan G. 25. Nkounkou N. 99. Siviero L. (G) 61. Tameze A.
Coaches
Allegri M.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Tomori F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Pavlovic S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Simeone G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tomori F. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Rabiot A. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Fofana Y. ⚽, Athekame Z. (A),
64', Prati M. ↓, Ilkhan E. ↑,
64', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
69', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
70', Fullkrug N. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
74', Gineitis G. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
77', Pulisic C. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
82', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Vlasic N. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Ebosse E. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
89', Obrador R. ↓, Nkounkou N. ↑,
90+1', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Odogu D. ↑,
90+3', Ilkhan E. 🟨,
90+6', Gimenez S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Torino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Milan is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Broken jawbone)

There will not play in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Muscle Injury) Njie A. (Injury) Savva Z. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Milan - Parma	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLT
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Napoli - Torino	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Torino - Lazio	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Torino - Milan	2:3
22.02.25	Torino - Milan	2:1
17.08.24	Milan - Torino	2:2
18.05.24	Torino - Milan	3:1
26.08.23	Milan - Torino	4:1
10.02.23	Milan - Torino	1:0
Coppa Italia
11.01.23	Milan - Torino	0:1 ET

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