Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 37

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo
France	18:30	beIN Sports Max
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	18:30	Sport 1
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:30	TV4
United Kingdom	17:30	TNT Sports


	Salernitana		Verona

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.6	Watch
	5	4	1.63
	5.4	3.95	1.62	Watch
	5.63	4.24	1.62
	5.64	4.15	1.63
	5.8	4.2	1.55
	5.69	4.24	1.66	Watch
	5.5	4.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (4.48)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
17.4%

Draw
23.2%

Verona
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.6%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	7.2%	88%

Salernitana - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: Verona will win (71 of 81 users predict this - 87.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.48% – 94.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiorillo V. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 18. Coulibaly L. 26. Basic T. 59. Zanoli A. 33. Tchaouna L. 20. Kastanos G. 14. Weissman S.	1. Montipo L. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 42. Coppola D. 27. Dawidowicz P. 32. Cabal J. 33. Duda O. 25. Serdar S. 31. Suslov T. 90. Folorunsho M. 8. Lazovic D. (C) 17. Noslin T.
Substitutes
70. Boncori L. 87. Candreva A. 56. Costil B. (G) 43. Fusco G. 99. Legowski M. 25. Maggiore G. 44. Manolas K. 4. Pasalidis T. 24. Pellegrino M. 65. Salvati G. (G) 36. Sfait A. 55. Vignato E.	72. Ajayi J. 6. Belahyane R. 99. Bonazzoli F. 18. Centonze F. 37. Charlys 16. Chiesa M. (G) 82. Corradi C. 23. Magnani G. 10. Mitrovic S. 34. Perilli S. (G) 21. Silva D. 11. Swiderski K. 7. Tavsan E. 19. Vinagre R.
Coaches
Colantuono S.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Sambia J. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Suslov T. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Folorunsho M. ⚽, Lazovic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulibaly L. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
46', Pirola L. ↓, Candreva A. ↑,
56', Duda O. 🟨,
67', Cabal J. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
71', Basic T. 🟨,
72', Fazio F. ↓, Manolas K. ↑,
73', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
73', Serdar S. 🟨,
76', Weissman S. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
81', Folorunsho M. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
81', Suslov T. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
83', Kastanos G. ↓, Vignato E. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Maggiore G. ⚽,
90+1', Lazovic D. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).

Salernitana is Relegated to Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 3.

Salernitana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Verona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Verona is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
12.05.24	Juventus - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
06.05.24	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Salernitana - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Lazio - Salernitana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLLL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
12.05.24	Verona - Torino	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Lazio - Verona	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Verona - Udinese	1:0 ✺
15.04.24	Atalanta - Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.12.23	Verona - Salernitana	0:1
13.02.23	Verona - Salernitana	1:0
09.10.22	Salernitana - Verona	2:1
09.01.22	Verona - Salernitana	1:2
22.09.21	Salernitana - Verona	2:2
Italian Serie B
22.02.19	Verona - Salernitana	1:0
29.09.18	Salernitana - Verona	1:0

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