Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 35

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	18:00	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Hungary	18:00	Sport 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:00	TV4
United Kingdom	17:00	TNT Sports


	Salernitana		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.75	1.3	Watch
	9.25	5.5	1.32
	9.7	5.4	1.31	Watch
	8.32	5.3	1.39
	10.17	5.89	1.31
	9	5.8	1.29
	10.1	6.05	1.33	Watch
	8.4	5.9	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.18 ↑ (7.4)	5.7 ↑ (4.96)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
10.5%

Draw
16.9%

Atalanta
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.1%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

18.5%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	4.3%	91.4%

Salernitana - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (63 of 69 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.65% – 97.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiorillo V. (G) 4. Pasalidis T. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 26. Basic T. 18. Coulibaly L. 3. Bradaric D. 33. Tchaouna L. 55. Vignato E. 22. Ikwuemesi C.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 4. Hien I. 15. De Roon M. (C) 33. Hateboer H. 13. Ederson 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 59. Miranchuk Al. 11. Lookman A. 90. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
56. Costil B. (G) 43. Fusco G. 42. Guccione N. 99. Legowski M. 44. Manolas K. 7. Martegani A. 24. Pellegrino M. 65. Salvati G. (G) 36. Sfait A. 9. Simy 14. Weissman S. 59. Zanoli A.	25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 43. Bonfanti G. 53. Comi P. 17. De Ketelaere C. 19. Djimsiti B. 7. Koopmeiners T. 1. Musso J. (G) 45. Palestra M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 10. Toure E. B.
Coaches
Colantuono S.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Vignato E. (A),
45', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Miranchuk Al. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
46', Scalvini G. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
46', Ederson ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
46', Pasalidis T. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Scamacca G. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
60', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Koopmeiners T. ⚽,
69', Sambia J. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
69', Vignato E. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
77', Bradaric D. ↓, Sfait A. ↑,
80', Scamacca G. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,
84', Lookman A. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Salernitana is Relegated to Serie B

Salernitana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atalanta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Boateng J. (Injury) Gyomber N. (Injury) Kastanos G. (Knee Injury) Maggiore G. (Injury) Ochoa G. (Injury) Pierozzi N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Stomach Disorder) Holm E. (Calf Injury) Kolasinac S. (Muscle Injury) Toloi R. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Dia B. (Injury) Gomis I. (Illness)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
26.04.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Salernitana - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Lazio - Salernitana	4:1 ✺
05.04.24	Salernitana - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Bologna - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Atalanta
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.04.24	Atalanta - Empoli	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.04.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.04.24	Monza - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.04.24	Atalanta - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.12.23	Atalanta - Salernitana	4:1
13.05.23	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:0
15.01.23	Atalanta - Salernitana	8:2
02.05.22	Atalanta - Salernitana	1:1
18.09.21	Salernitana - Atalanta	0:1

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