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Current Win Probability
Lazio 70.6%
Draw 19%
Salernitana 10.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.9%
18.3%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
10.4%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-29.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
2.8%
5.6%
Lazio - Salernitana Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(66 of 72 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.29% โ 98.05%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Mandas C. (G) 77. Marusic A. 4. Patric 15. Casale N. 34. Gila M. 7. Felipe Anderson 5. Vecino M. 6. Kamada D. 29. Lazzari M. 10. Luis Alberto (C) 19. Castellanos T.
56. Costil B. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 5. Boateng J. 98. Pirola L. 59. Zanoli A. 18. Coulibaly L. 25. Maggiore G. 3. Bradaric D. 33. Tchaouna L. 87. Candreva A. (C) 22. Ikwuemesi C.
Substitutes
28. Anderson A. 32. Cataldi D. 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 9. Pedro 59. Renzetti D. (G) 65. Rovella N. 33. Sepe L. (G)
62. Allocca P. (G) 17. Fazio F. 11. Gomis I. 99. Legowski M. 44. Manolas K. 7. Martegani A. 13. Ochoa G. (G) 4. Pasalidis T. 24. Pellegrino M. 27. Pierozzi N. 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy 55. Vignato E. 14. Weissman S.
Coaches
Tudor I.
Colantuono S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Felipe Anderson ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Vecino M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Maggiore G. (A),
35', 3 - 1, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Luis Alberto (A),
36', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maggiore G. ↓, Manolas K. ↑,
46', Boateng J. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
46', Zanoli A. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
58', Marusic A. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
76', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
80', Luis Alberto ↓, Cataldi D. ↑,
80', Castellanos T. ↓, Pedro ↑,
81', Vecino M. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
84', Gila M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
85', Candreva A. ↓, Martegani A. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Isaksen G. ⚽, Rovella N. (A),
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Recent matches Lazio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lazio is certain favorite.
There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C.
(Injury)
Provedel I.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Salernitana: Basic T.
(Injury)
Dia B.
(Injury)
Kastanos G.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Lazzari M.
(Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Injury)
Zaccagni M.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Salernitana: Fazio F.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Africa
Australia
Bosnia And Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Finland
France
Hungary
Portugal
Serbia
Slovenia
United Kingdom
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Mandas C. (G) 
Marusic A. 
Patric 
Casale N. 
Felipe Anderson 
Vecino M. 
Kamada D. 
Castellanos T. 
Costil B. (G) 
Gyomber N. 
Boateng J. 
Coulibaly L. 
Bradaric D. 
Ikwuemesi C. 
Hysaj E. 
Isaksen G. 
Legowski M. 
Ochoa G. (G) 
Weissman S. 
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