Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
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Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Atalanta		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4.75	7.25
	1.39	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.4	4.9	9.25
	1.4	4.7	8.52	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.42	4.65	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.67 ↓ (4.7)	8.42 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
68.3%

Draw
20.4%

Verona
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.3%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

18.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	9.8%	2.4%

Atalanta - Verona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N.	1. Montipo L. (C) 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 6. Valentini N. 7. Belghali R. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 3. Frese M. 18. Bowie K. 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 4. Hien I. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	73. Al Musrati 24. Bernede A. 70. Cham F. 41. Isaac 14. Lirola P. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 10. Suslov T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)
Coaches
Palladino R.	Sammarco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Zappacosta D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frese M. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
54', Valentini N. 🟨,
63', Gagliardini R. 🟨,
63', Zalewski N. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
63', Ederson ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
66', Gagliardini R. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
66', Harroui A. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
76', Kolasinac S. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
76', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
78', Bowie K. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
83', Hien I. 🟨,
85', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Bernede A. ↑,
88', De Roon M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atalanta is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Verona: Bradaric D. (Muscle Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Bayern Munich - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLTT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Verona - Genoa	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Bologna - Verona	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1
08.02.25	Verona - Atalanta	0:5
26.10.24	Atalanta - Verona	6:1
15.04.24	Atalanta - Verona	2:2
27.09.23	Verona - Atalanta	0:1
20.05.23	Atalanta - Verona	3:1
28.08.22	Verona - Atalanta	0:1

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