Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+
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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Verona		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.95	3.2	2.08	Watch
	4.11	3.2	2.12
	4.05	3.19	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3	2.05
	3.8	3.29	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.08)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	2.09 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
24.4%

Draw
30%

Fiorentina
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.8%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

28.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Verona - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Verona (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (C) 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 3. Frese M. 2. Oyegoke D. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 24. Bernede A. 7. Belghali R. 18. Bowie K. 16. Orban G.	43. de Gea D. (C) 15. Comuzzo P. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Gosens R. 80. Fabbian G. 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 17. Harrison J. 20. Kean M. 10. Gudmundsson A.
Substitutes
73. Al Musrati 12. Bradaric D. 70. Cham F. 21. Harroui A. 41. Isaac 14. Lirola P. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 10. Suslov T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Valentini N.	62. Balbo L. 63. Bonanno P. 61. Braschi R. 4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 64. Deli L. 22. Fazzini J. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 91. Piccoli R. 3. Rugani D. 67. Sadotti E.
Coaches
Sammarco P.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gagliardini R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Fabbian G. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
67', Orban G. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
75', Oyegoke D. ↓, Bradaric D. ↑,
75', Bernede A. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
76', Kean M. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
76', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
79', Nelsson V. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Fagioli N. ⚽, Harrison J. (A),
84', Fagioli N. 🟨,
85', Gudmundsson A. 🟥,
85', Suslov T. 🟥,
88', Belghali R. 🟨,
90', Comuzzo P. ↓, Kospo E. ↑,
90', Fagioli N. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
90', Nelsson V. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 3.

Verona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.

There will not play in Verona: Bella-Kotchap A. (Thigh Injury) Lovric S. (Muscle Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Bradaric D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Dodo (Thigh Injury) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Lezzerini L. (Thigh Injury) Mandragora R. (Calf Injury) Solomon M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.8:1.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6:12	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Atalanta - Verona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Verona - Genoa	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Bologna - Verona	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWLL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.03.26	Cremonese - Fiorentina	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Fiorentina - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2
23.02.25	Verona - Fiorentina	1:0
10.11.24	Fiorentina - Verona	3:1
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1
17.12.23	Fiorentina - Verona	1:0
27.02.23	Verona - Fiorentina	0:3
18.09.22	Fiorentina - Verona	2:0

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