Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Virtus Entella		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.25
	3.05	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.3	3	2.23
	3.43	3.3	2.31
	3.4	3.1	2.25
	3.38	3.13	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.12)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)	2.28 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
28.6%

Draw
29.9%

Pordenone
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

30.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pordenone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	32.7%	55.1%

Virtus Entella - Pordenone Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). Pordenone will win (votes: 27 - 55.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 32.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pordenone: 41.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Virtus Entella has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pordenone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pordenone will have a poor advantage in this game.

Pordenone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
15.12.20	Monza - Virtus Entella	5:0 ✺
12.12.20	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:5 ✺
05.12.20	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.11.20	Torino - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.12.20	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Pisa - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
07.12.20	Pordenone - Empoli	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Pescara - Pordenone	0:2 ✺
21.11.20	Pordenone - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.06.20	Pordenone - Virtus Entella	2:0
09.11.19	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	1:1
Italian Super Cup Serie C
11.05.19	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:0

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