Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.92	3.45	Watch
	2.34	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.07	3.68	Watch
	2.48	2.94	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	3.34 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
40.8%

Draw
31.3%

Empoli
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Virtus Entella - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Empoli (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Empoli (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Bariti D. 24. Franzoni A. 50. Benali A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 26. Di Mario S. 20. Fumagalli T. 21. Russo F.	21. Fulignati A. (C) 2. Curto M. 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 27. Moruzzi B. 8. Belardinelli L. 18. Ghion A. 14. Yepes G. 79. Carboni F. 10. Ilie R. 9. Pellegri P.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 77. Boccadamo A. 19. Debenedetti A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 8. Karic N. 5. Lipani J. 25. Matteazzi E. 42. Moretti L. 4. Nichetti M. 2. Palomba L. 90. Portanova D. 99. Siaulys O. (G)	99. Bianchi F. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 25. Ignacchiti L. 28. Indragoli G. 90. Konate I. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 70. Saporiti E. 11. Shpendi S. 29. Tosto L.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
60', Ilie R. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
60', Pellegri P. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
63', Russo F. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
64', Benali A. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
66', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
69', Belardinelli L. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
70', Ghion A. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
83', Bariti D. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
85', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Fumagalli T. (A),
89', Yepes G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
90+4', Di Mario S. 🟨,
90+4', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Portanova D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Del Lungo T. (Inactive) Guiu B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Empoli: Elia S. (Red Card) Nasti M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Empoli: Ceesay J. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Frosinone - Virtus Entella	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Virtus Entella - Pescara	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Modena - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Virtus Entella - Bari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Empoli - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:2
Italian Serie B
20.03.21	Empoli - Virtus Entella	1:0
12.12.20	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:5
17.07.20	Empoli - Virtus Entella	2:4
14.12.19	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:0
11.03.18	Empoli - Virtus Entella	2:1
16.10.17	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:3

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