Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Salford City		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.78	Watch
	2.34	3.55	2.87
	2.41	3.62	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.32	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3.33	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	2.76 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
39.9%

Draw
26.7%

Rotherham United
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotherham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Salford City - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rotherham (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Howard M. (G) 3. Berkoe K. 36. Lara J. 12. Edwards T. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 34. Butt R. 21. Cesay K. 17. Austerfield J. 35. Padovani B. 27. Siri N. 9. Stockton C.	13. Cann T. (G) 5. Raggett S. 26. Douglas H. (C) 12. Holmes T. 16. Yearwood D. 41. Ayres J. 4. Kelly L. 37. Clarke J. 11. Martha A. 23. Holmes J. 19. Benson J.
Substitutes
2. Ayina L. 16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 32. Curran-Nichols J. 40. Henderson A. 19. Mnoga H. 1. Young M. (G)	1. Dawson C. (G) 46. Gardner D. 44. Gore D. 22. Hall D. 6. James R. 7. Powell J. 2. Rafferty J.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Hamshaw M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
8', 1 - 0, Siri N. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Ayres J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Clarke J. ⚽, Holmes J. (A),
31', 2 - 2, Stockton C. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
39', 2 - 3, Benson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Raggett S. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
46', Holmes T. ↓, James R. ↑,
53', 2 - 4, Benson J. ⚽, James R. (A),
55', 2 - 5, Benson J. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
57', Martha A. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
60', Padovani B. ↓, Mnoga H. ↑,
60', Cesay K. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
60', Stockton C. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
62', Benson J. 🟨,
75', Benson J. ↓, Gore D. ↑,
79', Ayres J. ↓, Gardner D. ↑,
79', Kelly L. 🟨,
83', Austerfield J. ↓, Curran-Nichols J. ↑,
85', 2 - 6, Gore D. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
89', 2 - 7, Gardner D. ⚽, Yearwood D. (A),
90', Berkoe K. ↓, Ayina L. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Salford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rotherham United - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
29.11.25	Salford City - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Bromley - Salford City	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Salford City - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	4:2 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Salford City - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWT
- Rotherham United
English League One
29.11.25	Rotherham United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Reading - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Luton Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
04.11.25	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.25	Salford City - Rotherham United	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Salford City - Rotherham United	1:1
English League Cup
05.09.20	Salford City - Rotherham United	2:1 penalties

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