Match Info

League One - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Luton Town		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	6	Watch
	1.49	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.54	4.35	6
	1.52	4.08	5.54	Watch
	1.57	4.24	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 (1.52)	4.2 ↑ (4.08)	5.88 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
61.8%

Draw
22.3%

Rotherham United
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Luton Town - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 3 - 60%). Rotherham (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 25. Jones I. 5. Andersen M. 15. Mengi T. 3. Naismith K. (C) 8. Walsh L. 22. Fanne L. 27. Richards J. 21. Wells N. 33. Bramall C. 9. Yates J.	1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 26. Douglas H. 6. James R. 22. Hall D. 17. McWilliams S. 8. Spence K. 44. Gore D. 7. Powell J. 20. Sherif M. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
7. Alli M. 19. Brown J. 30. Kodua G. 17. Lonwijk N. 37. Nelson Z. 16. Odoffin H. 1. Shea J. (G)	41. Ayres J. 19. Benson J. 13. Cann T. (G) 39. Duncan H. 23. Holmes J. 4. Kelly L. 16. Yearwood D.
Coaches
Wilshere J.	Hamshaw M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Andersen M. 🟨,
45+3', Hugill J. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Richards J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
46', Sherif M. ↓, Ayres J. ↑,
61', Wells N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
78', Fanne L. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
78', Bramall C. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
83', Douglas H. 🟨,
84', McWilliams S. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
90', Ayres J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rotherham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Clark J. (Inactive) Morris S. (Inactive) Nakamba M. (Inactive) Saville G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Bramall C. (Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Baptiste J. (Inactive) Jules Z. (Inactive) Kelly L. (Inactive) Raggett S. (Inactive)

We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League One
08.11.25	Stockport County - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
31.10.25	Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:1 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Northampton Town - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Luton Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Rotherham United
English League One
08.11.25	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
04.11.25	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Rotherham United - Swindon Town	1:2 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Rotherham United - Manchester City U21	4:2 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Barnsley - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.04.23	Rotherham United - Luton Town	0:2
12.11.22	Luton Town - Rotherham United	1:1
04.05.21	Luton Town - Rotherham United	0:0
04.11.20	Rotherham United - Luton Town	0:1

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