Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.21	3.09	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.17	3.22	3.56	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.28)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cittadella
42.9%

Draw
30.6%

Mantova
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	45.5%	0%

Cittadella - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 17. Tronchin S. 23. Branca S. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 32. Masciangelo E. 7. Pandolfi L. 16. Vita A.	1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 87. De Maio S. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 21. Trimboli S. 19. Mancuso L. 8. Burrai S. (C) 18. Ruocco F. 7. Mensah D.
Substitutes
13. Capradossi E. 5. Casolari F. 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 78. Maniero L. (G) 31. Okwonkwo O. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.	24. Artioli F. 13. Brignani F. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 26. Giordano S. 28. Muroni M. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Pavan N. 🟨,
20', Branca S. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽, Mensah D. (A),
39', Pavan N. ↓, Capradossi E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Mancuso L. (Pen),
54', Amatucci F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
54', Tronchin S. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Vita A. ⚽, Masciangelo E. (A),
62', Ruocco F. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
62', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
69', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
70', Cella S. 🟨,
80', D'Alessio F. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
80', Branca S. ↓, Casolari F. ↑,
85', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
85', Bani C. ↓, Solini M. ↑,
86', Burrai S. 🟨,
90+4', Trimboli S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

Cittadella is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mantova is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittadella will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Injury) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mantova: Radaelli N. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Cesena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Cittadella - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TWWWT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Mantova	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Mantova - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Mantova - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Cittadella - Mantova	3:2
Italian Serie C Group A
24.03.16	Mantova - Cittadella	0:1
15.11.15	Cittadella - Mantova	0:0

Upcoming Matches