Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Sambiase		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.78	3.22	4.53	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.6
	1.74	3.14	4.81
	1.78	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.15)	3.14 ↓ (3.38)	4.58 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambiase
51.5%

Draw
28.8%

Ragusa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambiase's performance.

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ragusa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambiase that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ragusa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sambiase - Ragusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Guzzo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Palermo F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Sambiase is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambiase won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sambiase won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
16	USD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Castrumfavara - Sambiase	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nissa - Sambiase	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sambiase - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTL
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Ragusa - Gela	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Enna - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Ragusa	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
21.09.25	Ragusa - Sambiase	1:2
02.03.25	Sambiase - Ragusa	2:1

Sambiase - Ragusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide