Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 25

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Ninua B. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Dila Gori

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.00	2.25
	2.8	2.95	2.32	Watch
	3.02	3.3	2.44
	2.95	3.07	2.37	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.3
	2.99	2.95	2.34
	2.8	3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)	3.02 ↓ (3.28)	2.33 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
31.2%

Draw
30%

Dila Gori
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dila Gori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. (C) 39. Ryan 22. Gogia G. 10. Gilmore L. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 27. Shergelashvili L. 15. Gean Rodrigues 17. Tsetskhladze N. 19. Siradze I.	1. Kereselidze D. (C) 2. Kikabidze T. 13. Joao Araujo 5. Puketi M. N. 16. Sanyang M. 17. Anoff B. 8. Menteshashvili L. 24. Diouf M. 11. Grabovskis K. 22. Shekiladze S. 9. Kante M.
Substitutes
8. Bidzinashvili I. 28. Claudio Cebolinha 14. Goletiani T. 26. Iashvili Z. 33. Isac Martins 12. Kasradze A. (G) 11. Krasovski D. 25. Shatirishvili M. 20. Vinicius Vianna	33. Etou R. 19. Gogoberishvili B. 14. Jalaghonia G. 15. Kobakhidze G. 21. Museliani Z. 10. Parulava O. 12. Sanikidze L. (G) 25. Yarbrough L.
Coaches
Oniani G.	Vavalis D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Sanyang M. ⚽, Kante M. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Shekiladze S. ⚽, Sanyang M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsetskhladze N. ↓, Krasovski D. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Kante M. ⚽, Shekiladze S. (A),
51', Ryan ↓, Shatirishvili M. ↑,
55', Menteshashvili L. ↓, Yarbrough L. ↑,
55', Sanyang M. ↓, Kobakhidze G. ↑,
56', Siradze I. ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
56', Shergelashvili L. ↓, Bidzinashvili I. ↑,
64', Shekiladze S. ↓, Jalaghonia G. ↑,
64', Grabovskis K. ↓, Parulava O. ↑,
69', Gean Rodrigues ↓, Isac Martins ↑,
75', Isac Martins 🟨,
76', Shatirishvili M. 🟨,
80', Kikabidze T. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Claudio Cebolinha ⚽,
87', Anoff B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 1.

Samgurali is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dila is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Dila has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Samgurali won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dila Gori	27	12	4	11	38:30	8	40
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32

Last Results with these Odds

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Dila Gori - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 AET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.08.26	Spaeri - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Batumi	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL
- Dila Gori
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.09.26	Dila Gori - Gagra	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 AET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.08.26	Dila Gori - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Dila Gori - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 AET
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3
17.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1
26.11.25	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1
19.09.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	1:2
Georgian Cup
27.07.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.05.25	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	4:3

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