Match Info

Date: 18 August 2020, Tuesday


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Shevardeni Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.6	7.6
	1.29	4.53	8.32
	1.3	4.33	8.5
	1.34	4.4	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	4.47 ↓ (4.5)	7.79 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
68.5%

Draw
20%

Shevardeni Tbilisi
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

12.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Shevardeni Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samgurali Tskhaltubo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shevardeni Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shevardeni Tbilisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).

Samgurali is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Shevardeni is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Samgurali is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
12.08.20	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:1 ✺
05.08.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
27.07.20	WIT Georgia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:0 ✺
22.07.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Zugdidi	0:0 ✺
15.07.20	Sioni Bolnisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWTTT
- Shevardeni Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.08.20	Aragvi Dusheti - Shevardeni Tbilisi	1:3 ✺
04.08.20	Shevardeni Tbilisi - Zugdidi	3:1 ✺
27.07.20	Shukura Kobuleti - Shevardeni Tbilisi	6:0 ✺
21.07.20	Shevardeni Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	0:3 ✺
13.07.20	Gagra - Shevardeni Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.10.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	✺

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Shevardeni Tbilisi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide