Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Samora Correia		Os Marialvas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.76	3.02	1.97
	3.49	3.1	2.07	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.05
	3.4	3.19	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.17)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
26.3%

Draw
29.9%

Os Marialvas
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28.9%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Samora Correia - Os Marialvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Marialvas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marialvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Os Marialvas	4	3	0	1	8:2	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Samora Correia - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Fatima - Samora Correia	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Samora Correia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWL
- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.03.26	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Os Marialvas - Peniche	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas	0:5 ✺
25.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	Os Marialvas - Samora Correia	2:1

Samora Correia - Os Marialvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide