Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Naval		Samora Correia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.65
	1.71	3.25	4.71
	1.71	3.33	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.24	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	4.83 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
53.5%

Draw
27.7%

Samora Correia
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

27%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Samora Correia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Naval - Samora Correia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samora Correia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 🟥,
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Naval is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Naval - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL
- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.03.26	Samora Correia - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Fatima - Samora Correia	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Samora Correia	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Samora Correia - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Samora Correia - Naval	1:1

Naval - Samora Correia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide