Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 6

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.95
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.44	2.99	3.06
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.29	3.13	3.04	Watch
	2.34	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.31)	3.02 ↑ (2.92)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
39.1%

Draw
30.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Democrata GV - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.02.23	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Copa do Brasil
02.03.23	Maringá - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.07.19	Sampaio Corrêa - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
18.05.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:3
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.15	Sampaio Corrêa - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
27.06.15	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
18.11.14	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2
19.08.14	Sampaio Corrêa - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

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