Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.45
	6.25	4	1.42
	7	4.33	1.44
	7.32	4.3	1.43
	7.32	4.31	1.44
	7	4.2	1.4
	7.08	4.35	1.44
	7	4.2	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (6.63)	4.24 ↑ (3.88)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
13.2%

Draw
21.9%

Fluminense
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

23.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

23.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Sampaio Corrêa - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe (G) 2. Luiz R. 4. Fabio Aguiar 6. Bruno Cortez 22. Thallyson 8. Ferreira (C) 21. Gazao 13. Onwudiwe F. 11. Pimentinha 9. Brunao 18. Joao Felipe	1. Fabio (C) 77. Marquinhos 13. Felipe Andrade 25. Antonio Carlos 6. Diogo Barbosa 8. Martinelli 80. David Terans 45. Lima 90. Douglas Costa 20. Renato Augusto 21. Arias J.
Substitutes
20. Adauto 32. Alan (G) 17. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 19. Evandro 3. Hiago Cena 14. Itambe 23. Jhonata Varela 5. Pablo Oliveira 16. Thiago Rosa 7. Thiaguinho	5. Alexsander 28. Arthur 31. Calegari 14. Cano G. 27. Felipe Alves (G) 30. Felipe Melo 23. Guga 32. Isaac 19. Kaua Elias 17. Lucumi J. 26. Manoel 10. PH Ganso
Coaches
Ferreira D.	Fernando Diniz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Lima ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gazao ↓, Evandro ↑,
63', Joao Felipe ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
65', Luiz R. ↓, Hiago Cena ↑,
73', Brunao ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
73', Renato Augusto ↓, Alexsander ↑,
73', Lima ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
76', Hiago Cena 🟨,
81', Hiago Cena ↓, Adauto ↑,
85', Fabio Aguiar 🟨,
85', Felipe 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Arias J. (Pen),
88', Douglas Costa ↓, Isaac ↑,
89', Marquinhos ↓, Guga ↑,
89', Arias J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
90+5', Martinelli 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Aparecidense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
20.04.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	Canceled ✺
16.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	3:3 ✺
09.04.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TL?TW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Corinthians - Fluminense	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Cerro Porteño - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT

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