Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 18

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: Scarascati T. (Bra)


	Tombense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.14	3.05	3.45
	2.18	3.03	4.08
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.08	3.22	3.75	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.15)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
43.6%

Draw
30.3%

CRB Maceio
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	56.2%	18.7%

Tombense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 25%). CRB will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Augusto 4. Ze Vitor 6. Egidio 8. Joao Pedro 5. Bruno Silva (C) 10. Pierre 7. Keke 9. Fernandao 11. Marcelinho	12. Diogo Silva (G) 32. Hereda 23. Saimon 14. Anderson Conceicao (C) 26. Edimar 98. Lucas Falcao 33. Lucas Lima 8. Juninho Valoura 18. Joao Paulo 11. Renato 9. Anselmo Ramon
Substitutes
20. Alexandre Jesus 16. Emerson 15. Guilherme Santos 17. Jaderson 13. Kevin 19. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 14. Luis Felipe 21. Luiz Fernando 23. Mateus Buiate 18. Rafinha 22. Ruan Levine	22. Anderson Leite 5. Auremir 29. Bruno Costa 4. Fabio Alemao 3. Gum 19. Hyuri 16. Jonathan Copete 2. Matheus Ribeiro 10. Rafael Longuine 77. Romulo Souza 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Burse J.	Paulista D.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tombense will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Tombense: Daniel Amorim (Injury) Roger Carvalho (Injury)

There will not play in CRB: Mike (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.07.23	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
30.06.23	Tombense - Chapecoense	4:2 ✺
27.06.23	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.23	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
05.07.23	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	CRB Maceio - Londrina	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.10.22	Tombense - CRB Maceio	1:2
29.06.22	CRB Maceio - Tombense	0:0

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