Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Sport Recife		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	2.25	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.31	3.25	3.39
	2.27	3.16	3.27	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.24	3.1	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
42.2%

Draw
29.6%

CRB Maceio
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Sport Recife - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). CRB will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 13. Madson 5. Benevenuto (C) 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 6. Biel Fonseca 58. Ze Lucas 31. Marlon Douglas 10. de Pena Carlos 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 32. Hereda 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 45. De Lucca 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
68. Augusto 96. Edson Lucas 47. Fabio Matheus 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 95. Iury Castilho 8. Max Alves 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins 7. Yago Felipe 23. Ze Gabriel	22. Bressan 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Azevedo M.	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Marlon Douglas ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Mikael ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De Lucca ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
47', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
56', Madson 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Danielzinho ⚽,
60', Madson ↓, Augusto ↑,
60', Gustavo Maia ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
64', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
72', Hereda 🟨,
76', Clayson ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
76', de Pena Carlos ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
76', Ze Lucas 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),
79', Pedro Castro ↓, Luizao ↑,
83', Thiaguinho ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
83', Mikael ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
89', Danielzinho 🟨,
90', Dada Belmonte ↓, Bressan ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recife will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Recife: Chrystian Barletta (Yellow Cards) Iury Castilho (Inactive) Marcelo Ajul (Red Card) Ze Roberto (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Recife won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.47%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.05.26	Sport Recife - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Sport Recife - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- CRB Maceio
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	CRB Maceio - Sousa	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0
11.09.24	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	1:1
28.07.23	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0
05.07.23	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.23	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	4:0
Brazilian Serie B
03.09.22	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:0

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