Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Criciúma		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.2	4.75	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	1.88	3.05	4.45
	1.93	3.18	5.03
	1.96	2.81	5.05	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.87	3.05	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.82)	4.61 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
49.1%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Goianiense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

33.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

31.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Pedro Santos (G) 43. Ruan Carvalho 37. Cesar Martins 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 8. Gui Lobo 7. Fellipe Mateus (C) 22. Marcelo Hermes 10. Jhonata Robert 77. Diego Goncalves 13. Waguininho	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Nata 3. Tito 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Cristiano 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Ewerthon 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
5. Eduardo 26. Heitor Roca 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 2. Leo Mana 93. Lucas Soratto (G) 9. Nicolas 91. Otero R. 50. Thiaguinho 97. Willean Lepo	18. Assis 13. Felipe Guimaraes 14. Gustavo Daniel 16. Igor Henrique 17. Jader 20. Leo Jaco 19. Leo Tocantins 15. Matheus Indio 12. Paulo Henrique (G)
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Eduardo Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Nata 🟨,
16', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
17', Cesar Martins 🟨,
44', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cristiano ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
46', Jhonata Robert ↓, Nicolas ↑,
46', Waguininho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
55', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽, Otero R. (A),
61', 1 - 1, Ewerthon ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
67', Ewerthon 🟨,
76', Leandro Vilela ↓, Matheus Indio ↑,
76', Marrony ↓, Assis ↑,
77', Ruan Carvalho ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
77', Diego Goncalves ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
77', Marcinho ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
86', Guilherme 🟨,
87', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
90+4', Guilherme ↓, Gustavo Daniel ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atlético GO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético GO has had a series of home games.

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLW
- Atlético Goianiense
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.11.25	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
18.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
19.06.24	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1
02.06.23	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
20.09.19	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	0:1

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