Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Furtado A. S. (Bra)


	Vitória Salvador		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.6	4.9
	1.69	3.55	6.13
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.62	5.7	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	5.45 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
56.3%

Draw
26.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Zeca 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 6. Felipe Vieira 5. Rodrigo Andrade 8. Gege 11. Osvaldo 10. Giovanni Augusto 7. Wellington Nem 22. Santiago Trellez	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 3. Gabriel Furtado 4. Gustavo Henrique 18. Alyson Neves 6. Vitinho 20. Mauricio Maranhao 5. Jhony Douglas 22. Vinicius Alves 10. Marcinho 8. Neto Paraiba 23. Ytalo
Substitutes
23. Diego Fumaca 20. Diego Torres 19. Jose Hugo 18. Leo Gomes 16. Marcelo Nunes 21. Pablo 17. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 14. Vytor 9. Welder 3. Yan Souto	9. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 19. Fabio Aguiar 14. Leo Silva 21. Luiz Otavio 7. Matheus Martins 16. Para 17. Rafael Vila 13. Rodrigo Souza 12. Thiago Braga (G)
Coaches
Conde L.	Fernandes M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Vitória is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Dionisio (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheuzinho (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.23	Guarani - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Ituano	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
29.05.23	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1
13.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.03.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
08.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	2:1
08.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.05.18	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
16.05.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	3:0

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