Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 17

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sampdoria		Napoli

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.49
	7	4.4	1.45
	6.6	4.4	1.47
	7.57	4.52	1.49
	7	4.4	1.44
	6.9	4.55	1.46	Watch
	6.8	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↓ (6.87)	4.44 ↓ (4.58)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
13.9%

Draw
21.5%

Napoli
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.6%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

20%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	2.8%	89.2%

Sampdoria - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (157 of 176 users predict this - 89.2%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.61% – 93.79%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (33.66%), has project points - 29, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli has the most likely position - 1 (67.71%), has project points - 87, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (97%), has a good chance of win league (68%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Napoli is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 20-48.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
04.01.23	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Sampdoria - Ligorna	3:0 ✺
15.12.22	Adana Demirspor - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Sampdoria - TS Galaxy	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.11.22	Sampdoria - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
04.01.23	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Napoli - Lille	1:4 ✺
17.12.22	Napoli - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Crystal Palace - Napoli	1:3 ✺
07.12.22	Antalyaspor - Napoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.01.22	Napoli - Sampdoria	1:0
23.09.21	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:4
11.04.21	Sampdoria - Napoli	0:2
13.12.20	Napoli - Sampdoria	2:1
03.02.20	Sampdoria - Napoli	2:4
14.09.19	Napoli - Sampdoria	2:0
02.02.19	Napoli - Sampdoria	3:0

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