Match Info
WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLYDate: 17 December 2022, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Napoli |
|
Villarreal |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.95 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.59 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.97 |
4.68 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.8 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.53 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.59 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.92) |
4.03 ↑
(3.46) |
4.95 ↑
(3.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Napoli
58.9% | Draw
22.6% | Villarreal
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Napoli - Villarreal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% โ 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Preview
Napoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5). Villarreal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games. Napoli will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Napoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2. Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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