Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Napoli		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.58	3.95	5.25
	1.59	4.1	4.8
	1.48	3.97	4.68
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.53	4.4	5.3	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.92)	4.03 ↑ (3.46)	4.95 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
58.9%

Draw
22.6%

Villarreal
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	4.8%	9.5%

Napoli - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Napoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Villarreal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.

Napoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Napoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Club Friendly
11.12.22	Crystal Palace - Napoli	1:3 ✺
07.12.22	Antalyaspor - Napoli	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.11.22	Napoli - Udinese	3:2 ✺
08.11.22	Napoli - Empoli	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Atalanta - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
15.12.22	Aston Villa - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
06.12.22	Galatasaray - Villarreal	3:4 ✺
03.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Santa Amalia - Villarreal	0:9 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.02.16	Napoli - Villarreal	1:1
18.02.16	Villarreal - Napoli	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Porto - Napoli	✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.26	Juventus - Napoli	✺
28.10.26	Monza - Napoli	✺
- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	✺

Napoli - Villarreal