Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Sassuolo		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
	1.61	3.9	5
	1.66	4	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.92	5.36
	1.67	3.9	5.12	Watch
	1.65	4	4.6
	1.68	4.05	4.76	Watch
	1.66	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.95 ↓ (4.02)	4.92 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
56.9%

Draw
23.9%

Sampdoria
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Sassuolo - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 80. Muharemovic T. 15. Pieragnolo E. 14. Obiang P. (C) 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 9. Mulattieri S.	1. Vismara P. (G) 18. Venuti L. 25. Ferrari A. (C) 5. Riccio A. 44. Ioannou N. 28. Yepes G. 17. Meulensteen M. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 10. Tutino G. 84. Sekulov N. 20. La Gumina A.
Substitutes
3. Doig J. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 55. Kumi J. 20. Lovato M. 44. Miranda K. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 77. Pierini N. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.	7. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 9. Coda M. 23. Depaoli F. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 14. Kasami P. 34. Leonardi S. 11. Pedrola E. 8. Ricci M. 72. Veroli D. 31. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Pieragnolo E. (A),
30', Ferrari A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Odenthal C. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
45+2', Ferrari A. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
46', Sekulov N. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
55', La Gumina A. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
60', Benedetti L. 🟨,
61', Mulattieri S. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
62', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Doig J. ↑,
62', Obiang P. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Pierini N. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
72', Tutino G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Berardi D. ⚽,
76', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Coda M. (Pen),
82', Lauriente A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1.

Sassuolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampdoria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sassuolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Bereszynski B. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Doig J. (Knock) Ghion A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Vieira R. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:27 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Milan - Sassuolo	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
29.11.24	Reggiana - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sassuolo - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sassuolo - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
24.11.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
26.05.23	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	2:2
04.01.23	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:2
06.02.22	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	4:0
29.08.21	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	0:0
24.04.21	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	1:0
23.12.20	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	2:3
26.01.20	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:0

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