Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 15

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sampdoria		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.8	2.9	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.85
	2.85	2.8	2.85
	2.8	2.8	2.9
	2.98	2.87	2.96
	2.8	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.83	2.9	2.84	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.52)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
33.4%

Draw
33.7%

Lecce
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.2%	41.5%	28.3%

Sampdoria - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 16 - 30.2%). Lecce will win (votes: 15 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 41.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.2% – 54.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (25.54%), has project points - 30, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce has the most likely position - 17 (11.43%), has project points - 37, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 51, importance 49, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Colley O. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Conti A. (Injury) De Luca M. (Knee Injury) Pussetto I. (Injury) Ravaglia N. (Injury) Sabiri A. (Injury) Winks H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Dermaku K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
09.11.22	Torino - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Sampdoria - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Inter Milan - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
24.10.22	Cremonese - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
09.11.22	Lecce - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Udinese - Lecce	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Lecce - Juventus	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Bologna - Lecce	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.07.20	Lecce - Sampdoria	1:2
30.10.19	Sampdoria - Lecce	1:1

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