Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Samsunspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.77	3.45	3.85
	1.7	3.45	4.3
	1.73	3.94	4.61
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.75	3.5	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.56)	3.55 ↓ (3.97)	4.39 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
53.3%

Draw
25.8%

Umraniyespor
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

14.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samsunspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umraniyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samsunspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Recent matches Samsunspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Umraniyespor is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Umraniyespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
27.09.21	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	2:3 ✺
19.09.21	Samsunspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
15.09.21	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
12.09.21	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLWL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
25.09.21	Umraniyespor - Manisa FK	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Adanaspor - Umraniyespor	0:0 ✺
14.09.21	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Menemenspor - Umraniyespor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
31.01.21	Umraniyespor - Samsunspor	2:2
21.09.20	Samsunspor - Umraniyespor	3:0
05.05.18	Samsunspor - Umraniyespor	3:3
24.12.17	Umraniyespor - Samsunspor	4:2
28.04.17	Samsunspor - Umraniyespor	2:2

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