Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Field (San Antonio, TX)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	San Antonio		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.70
	1.84	3.35	3.65
	1.88	3.52	4.29
	1.86	3.5	4.07	Watch
	1.86	3.40	4.20
	1.87	3.30	3.82	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)	3.38 ↑ (2.99)	3.93 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
49.4%

Draw
27.2%

Las Vegas Lights
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

31.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. (C) 17. Barbir D. 43. Tiago 15. Maldonado M. 8. Hernandez N. 6. Calov C. 22. Cuello E. 99. Sorto C. 10. Hernandez J.	13. Lanphier C. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 27. Probo G. 25. Anderson O. 14. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
14. Berron L. 4. Blanco N. 7. Haakenson L. 19. Parano C. 9. Patino S. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 5. Souahy A. 45. Urrutia L. 42. Walker L.	9. Arteaga M. 26. Bwana H. 3. Jones N. 17. Leal P. 96. Miller C. (G) 43. Okyere A. 45. Pope B.
Coaches
Llamosa C.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cuello E. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
38', Probo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Anderson O. (A),
52', Antonoglou T. 🟨,
59', Barbir D. 🟨,
63', Calov C. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
63', Sorto C. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
65', Cuello E. 🟨,
71', Hernandez N. ↓, Blanco N. ↑,
71', Locker C. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
76', Guillen A. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Okyere A. ⚽,
80', Anderson O. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
84', Cuello E. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
89', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
89', Pinzon C. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
90+3', Patino S. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2.

San Antonio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, San Antonio is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

San Antonio - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	San Antonio - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	San Antonio - Monterey Bay	0:0 ✺
24.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Lexington - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Tulsa - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Cup
11.07.26	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	2:3 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:1
07.06.25	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	3:0
11.05.24	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
06.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:0
07.05.23	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:2
29.04.23	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
13.08.22	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	2:0

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