Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK)

Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tulsa		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.40	3.20
	2.08	3.35	2.90
	2.02	3.79	3.44
	1.99	3.76	3.33	Watch
	1.99	3.75	3.40
	1.96	3.48	3.32	Watch
	2.02	3.40	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
45.9%

Draw
25.8%

El Paso Locomotive
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-2%)

Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Jacomen D. (G) 98. Ian 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 12. Stauffer L. 17. Sparks B. 14. Dorsey L. 10. Elmedkhar K.	99. Romero A. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 25. Ortiz A. (C) 93. Tony Alfaro 16. Gabriel Torres 30. Coronado R. 11. Farkarlun B. 19. Mendez A. 8. Sainte C. 10. Moreno A. 9. Abitia D.
Substitutes
99. Adams N. (G) 25. Clarke A. 20. Colli G. 22. Lukic S. 4. Pierre D. 19. Pierre N. 44. Sangwa J. 27. Siranga Z.	6. Calvillo E. 2. Cardona N. 23. Diaz G. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 5. Gomez D. 18. Quezada A. 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Spencer L.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Batista L. 🟨,
39', Twumasi K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Batista L. ⚽, Webber J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sainte C. ↓, Calvillo E. ↑,
56', Abitia D. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
56', Farkarlun B. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
61', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
64', St.Clair H. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
69', Cissoko A. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
78', Dorsey L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
79', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Colli G. ↑,
79', Ian ↓, Sangwa J. ↑,
82', Webber J. 🟨,
83', Moreno A. 🟨,
85', Gabriel Torres ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
89', Ortiz A. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.

Tulsa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Paso's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tulsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tulsa - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.23%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

El Paso Locomotive - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
USL Cup
11.07.26	Birmingham Legion - Tulsa	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
20.06.26	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	5:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Tulsa - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Cup
11.07.26	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:4
18.10.25	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:1
10.05.25	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	1:1
05.10.24	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	0:1
27.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	0:1
31.03.23	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	2:2
04.05.22	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	3:1

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