Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	El Paso Locomotive		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.40	5.25
	1.50	4.00	4.80
	1.49	4.91	5.69
	1.45	4.78	5.86	Watch
	1.48	4.75	5.45
	1.49	4.34	5.94	Watch
	1.43	4.60	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.54 ↓ (4.77)	5.51 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
62.9%

Draw
20.3%

Sporting Jacksonville
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

18.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sporting Jacksonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

El Paso Locomotive - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Romero A. (G) 2. Cardona N. 25. Ortiz A. 93. Tony Alfaro 16. Gabriel Torres 6. Calvillo E. (C) 30. Coronado R. 12. Ruiz R. 10. Moreno A. 14. Rubin R. 18. Quezada A.	1. McGuire J. (G) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. 27. Wilson D. 6. Rossiter J. 2. Neville H. 44. Somersall R. 3. Rose T. 10. Sadlier K. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 11. Al Qaq A.
Substitutes
9. Abitia D. 13. Avila R. 23. Diaz G. 11. Farkarlun B. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 79. Jimenez A. (G) 7. Jones Z. 28. Mora O.	13. Alvarado V. 42. Casas E. (G) 4. Dudley E. 7. Evans J. 22. Gomez A. 26. Granitur L. 19. Pedder R.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Edwards R. 🟨,
6', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽,
21', Sadlier K. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Rose T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rose T. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
56', Somersall R. 🟨,
61', Ruiz R. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
65', Ackwei W. ↓, Alvarado V. ↑,
72', Moreno A. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Rubin R. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
85', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
85', Quezada A. ↓, Hoban K. ↑,
85', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
88', Neville H. 🟨,
90', Ortiz A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 13).

El Paso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting Jax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sporting Jax has had a series of home games.

In this match, El Paso is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
18.07.26	Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
18.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Charleston Battery	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTLL

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