Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vinotinto		San Antonio

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.20	3.75
	1.84	3.10	3.95
	1.93	3.31	4
	1.99	3.18	3.97	Watch
	1.95	3.05	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.64)	3.17 ↓ (3.45)	3.9 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
47.8%

Draw
28.8%

San Antonio
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

26.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vinotinto - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
50', 🟥,
59', 0 - 1, Charcopa K. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Velez C. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 0.

Vinotinto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Antonio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vinotinto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vinotinto is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48
6	San Antonio	28	7	12	9	26:32	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.08.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	Vinotinto - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WTLLL
- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1
12.09.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0
23.07.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1
21.05.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0
26.03.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:0

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