Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Cuenca Juniors		San Antonio

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.60
	1.74	3.25	4.30
	1.71	3.38	5.43
	1.8	3.35	4.67	Watch
	1.78	3.46	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	4.71 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuenca Juniors
52.9%

Draw
27.6%

San Antonio
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuenca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+1%)

Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Cuenca Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Antonio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cuenca Juniors is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cuenca Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cuenca Juniors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39
6	San Antonio	29	7	12	10	27:34	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

San Antonio - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 21.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.09.26	Cuenca Juniors - Vinotinto	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	22 de Julio - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLW
- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.26	San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	4:2 ✺
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio	1:0
15.04.26	San Antonio - Cuenca Juniors	1:1

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