Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Field (San Antonio)

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)


	San Antonio		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.65	3.95	4.3
	1.68	4.1	4.39
	1.64	3.98	4.45	Watch
	1.64	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.97 ↑ (3.9)	4.31 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
55.6%

Draw
23.1%

Rio Grande Valley
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farr J. (G) 22. Gomez S. 2. Manley C. 4. Garcia F. 3. Taintor M. (C) 30. Jome I. 18. Zouhir R. 8. Hernandez J. 5. Hayes J. 19. Patino S. 16. Oluwaseyi T.	1. Deric T. (G) 20. Ritondale T. 19. Kinzner E. 15. Nodarse F. 6. Benitez G. 17. Cerro I. 16. Coronado R. 7. Torres F. (C) 23. Francois C. 11. Galindrez J. 29. Frame C.
Substitutes
7. Azocar J. 20. Bailone I. 15. Batista L. 11. Dhillon J. 99. Mercado C. (G) 6. Pagliari V. 24. Parker I.	5. Cabezas J. 13. Cabrera W. 8. Davila T. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 10. Pinzon C. 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Marcina A.	Cabrera W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Antonio won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Rio Grande Valley have a series of guest games.

In this match San Antonio is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches San Antonio won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36-28.

Including matches at home between the teams San Antonio won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
12.08.23	New Mexico United - San Antonio	0:3 ✺
05.08.23	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	San Antonio - Hartford Athletic	5:2 ✺
22.07.23	San Antonio - Miami	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	San Antonio - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
12.08.23	Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
21.07.23	Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.08.22	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	2:2
28.05.22	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	2:3
27.03.22	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	1:2
13.11.21	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	3:1
08.08.21	Rio Grande Valley - San Antonio	1:2
19.06.21	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	1:1
29.05.21	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	1:1

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