The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 41.6%
Draw 27.4%
San Antonio 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
25.2%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
23.6%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
New Mexico United - San Antonio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 10. Hurst G. (C) 31. Melto Quiah J. 9. Rennicks J.
98. Batrouni J. (C) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. 22. Cuello E. 19. Parano C. 15. Maldonado M. 8. Hernandez N. 10. Hernandez J. 9. Patino S.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 24. Blackett T. 5. Harris D. 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
17. Barbir D. 4. Blanco N. 23. Buckmaster R. 7. Haakenson L. 31. Namani D. (G) 77. Ricol L. 99. Sorto C.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Llamosa C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Keller K. (Own goal),
13', Patino S. 🟨,
17', Hernandez N. 🟨,
39', Jabang O. 🟨,
43', Parano C. 🟨,
44', Bailey Z. 🟨,
45', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
46', Rennicks J. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Harris D. ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, Hernandez N. ⚽,
62', Patino S. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
62', Hernandez N. ↓, Blanco N. ↑,
68', LaCava J. 🟨,
73', Hamalainen N. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
73', LaCava J. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
79', Hurst G. 🟨,
83', Parano C. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
88', Hernandez J. 🟨,
88', Gloster C. 🟨,
89', Blackett T. 🟨,
90+1', Keller K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4.
New Mexico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Antonio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Antonio has had a series of home games.
New Mexico could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
New Mexico United - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Shakes K. (G) 
Hamalainen N. 
Bailey Z. 
Reid-Stephen N. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Melto Quiah J. 
Cuello E. 
Hernandez J. 
Patino S. 
Archimede L. 
Blackett T. 
Harris D. 
Blanco N. 
Ricol L. 
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