Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)


	Louisville City		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.81	3.6	3.85
	1.85	3.54	4.12
	1.79	3.52	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.52)	3.83 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
49.9%

Draw
26.1%

Rio Grande Valley
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Semmle O. (G) 4. Totsch S. (C) 6. Charpie W. 32. Adams K. 19. Jimenez O. 12. Gibson T. 5. Pedersen R. 22. Mares D. 15. Perez E. 17. Lancaster C. 23. Wynder E.	1. Deric T. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. 16. Coronado R. 8. Davila T. 5. Cabezas J. (C) 12. Ruiz R. 10. Pinzon C. 13. Cabrera W. 23. Francois C.
Substitutes
13. Dia A. 18. Faundez D. (G) 14. Harris W. 11. McCabe N. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 90. Pouwels M. 7. Serrano R.	17. Cerro I. 11. Galindrez J. 19. Kinzner E. 21. Merancio C. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 20. Ritondale T. 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Cabrera W.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rio Grande Valley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
09.08.23	Louisville City - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLL
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
05.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
21.07.23	Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Louisville City	0:1

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