Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 June 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	San Antonio Unido		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	10	5	1.22	Watch
	10.5	5.75	1.2
	12	5.5	1.22	Watch
	9.32	5.52	1.24
	10.08	5.47	1.24
	12	5.8	1.18
	10.3	5.55	1.22	Watch
	9	4.9	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.4 ↑ (8.1)	5.44 ↑ (4.35)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Unido
8.8%

Draw
16.8%

Universidad de Chile
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

20.9%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

22.7%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Unido than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

San Antonio Unido - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad de Chile will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Fernandez L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

San Antonio Unido in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Universidad de Chile is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Antonio Unido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad de Chile is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Unido
Chilean Cup
18.06.24	San Antonio Unido - Unión La Calera	3:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
26.05.24	Deportes Concepción - San Antonio Unido	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Linares	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - San Antonio Unido	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	San Antonio Unido - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWW
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
02.06.24	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
13.05.24	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWT

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