Match Info

MLS

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3, TSN 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	San Diego		Sporting Kansas City

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6
	1.55	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.75	5.6
	1.54	4.6	5.4	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5
	1.55	4.55	5.35	Watch
	1.55	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	4.65 ↑ (3.83)	5.58 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
62.5%

Draw
20.5%

Sporting Kansas City
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

San Diego - Sporting Kansas City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - San Diego (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - San Diego (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: San Diego will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 17. McNair P. 97. McVey C. 27. Bombino L. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. 14. de la Torre L. 77. Mighten A. 10. Dreyer A. 11. Lozano H.	1. Pulskamp J. (G) 11. Shelton K. 15. Miller J. 4. Voloder R. 14. Leibold T. 21. Garcia M. 22. Bassong Z. 16. Bartlett J. 93. Suleymanov S. 7. Munoz S. 26. Thommy E.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 9. Angel T. 24. Boateng E. 32. Iloski M. 2. Kumado W. 22. Negri F. 25. Pilcher I. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 8. Valakari O.	30. Afrifa S. 3. Brody A. 17. Davis J. 18. Ndenbe L. 8. Rodriguez M. 5. Rosero D. 10. Salloi D. 36. Schewe R. (G) 13. Toye M.
Coaches
Varas M.	Zavagnin K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Miller J. 🟨,
21', Godoy A. 🟨,
37', Bombino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bassong Z. 🟨,
59', Leibold T. ↓, Ndenbe L. ↑,
59', Shelton K. ↓, Brody A. ↑,
60', Godoy A. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
60', Thommy E. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
68', Garcia M. 🟨,
72', de la Torre L. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
72', Verhoeven O. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
81', Mighten A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
81', Lozano H. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
84', Munoz S. ↓, Toye M. ↑,
86', Garcia M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Kansas City has had a series of away games.

In this match, San Diego is considered a favorite.

There will not play in San Diego: Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Kansas City: Ndenbe L. (Injury) Rodriguez M. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
14.05.25	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	St. Louis City - San Diego	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	San Diego - FC Dallas	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Charlotte - San Diego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
14.05.25	St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLW

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