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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 62.8%
Draw 19.7%
Sporting Kansas City 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.1%
20.1%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
15.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Portland Timbers will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. 4. Miller K. (C) 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 30. Caicedo J. 99. Velde K. 10. Da Costa D. 11. Antony 19. Kelsy K.
30. Cleveland S. (G) 8. Davis J. 23. Bartlow E. 28. Meyer W. 99. Reid J. 4. Johnsen L. 6. Garcia M. 16. Bartlett J. 7. Capita 9. Joveljic D. (C) 93. Suleymanov S.
Substitutes
28. Aravena A. 6. Bonetig A. 21. Chara D. 16. Jura S. 7. Lassiter A. 9. Mora F. 25. Muse T. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I.
17. Afrifa S. 22. Bassong Z. 19. Calheira T. 11. Harris C. 2. James I. 41. Lurot P. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 36. Schewe R. (G) 14. Tschantret M.
Coaches
Neville P.
Wicky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Velde K. ⚽, Da Costa D. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
15', 2 - 0, Kelsy K. ⚽, Da Costa D. (A), Bassett C. (A2)
19', Johnsen L. 🟨,
22', 3 - 0, Bassett C. ⚽, Kelsy K. (A), Velde K. (A2)
26', 4 - 0, Davis J. (Own goal),
33', Caicedo J. 🟨,
41', Davis J. 🟨,
45+3', Reid J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Harris C. ↑,
46', Suleymanov S. ↓, James I. ↑,
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
53', Bartlow E. 🟨,
61', Johnsen L. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
61', Da Costa D. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
61', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
61', Bassett C. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
61', Antony ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
71', 5 - 0, Lassiter A. ⚽,
72', Joveljic D. ↓, Calheira T. ↑,
74', 6 - 0, Kelsy K. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A), Aravena A. (A2)
76', Capita 🟨,
76', Capita ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
Recent performances by Portland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kansas City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Portland: Fernandez O.
(Foot Injury)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Agyabeng K.
(Groin Injury)
Diego Borges
(Groin Injury)
Reynolds J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Portland: Griffith C.
(Injury)
Surman F.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
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Pantemis J. (G) 
Bye B. 
Surman F. 
Fory J. 
Velde K. 
Da Costa D. 
Antony 
Kelsy K. 
Garcia M. 
Capita 
Joveljic D. (C) 
Suleymanov S. 
Aravena A. 
Bonetig A. 
Lassiter A. 
Ortiz J. 
Harris C. 
Lurot P. 
Wicky R. 
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