Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Israel	Sport 1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	San Diego		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	3.25	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4
	2.08	3.95	3.2	Watch
	2.11	3.99	3.29
	2.03	4.01	3.21	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
	2.09	3.9	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)	3.86 ↓ (4.19)	3.35 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
47%

Draw
24.6%

Real Salt Lake
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

22.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego's form might have worsened.

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Salt Lake's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

San Diego - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1, 2nd Half - Salt Lake (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Salt Lake (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Salt Lake (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ferree D. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 27. Bombino L. 8. Valakari O. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 19. Vazquez D. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 90. Pellegrino A.	1. Rafael Cabral (C) 26. Quinton P. 15. Glad J. 4. Engel L. 72. Gozo Z. 92. Caliskan N. 27. Dillon G. 8. Sanabria J. 39. Hezarkhani A. 22. Solans S. 9. Guilavogui M.
Substitutes
21. Duke B. 22. Eisner W. 20. Godoy A. 77. Mighten A. 9. Morgan L. 29. Saidi A. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 17. Soe O. 14. Zamble B. B.	36. Barea J. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 10. Luna D. 11. Marczuk D. 34. Moisa L. 17. Olatunji V. 6. Spierings S. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)
Coaches
Varas M.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Solans S. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Ingvartsen M. ⚽,
40', Caliskan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
49', Dillon G. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Dreyer A. ⚽, Pellegrino A. (A),
63', Vazquez D. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
63', Verhoeven O. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
67', Dillon G. ↓, Spierings S. ↑,
67', Solans S. ↓, Olatunji V. ↑,
74', Pellegrino A. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Olatunji V. ⚽, Guilavogui M. (A),
87', McVey C. 🟨,
87', Godoy A. 🟨,
89', McVey C. 🟨,
90+1', Valakari O. ↓, Soe O. ↑,

Preview

San Diego is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Salt Lake has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.

There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Arias J. J. (Groin Injury) Eneli E. (Knee Injury) Piol A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wolff T. (Shoulder Injury) Yedlin D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Toluca - San Diego	4:0 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	FC Dallas - San Diego	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.26	San Diego - Toluca	3:2 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Sporting Kansas City - San Diego	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	San Diego - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
14.03.26	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlanta United - Real Salt Lake	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
30.01.26	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.04.25	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	1:3
08.03.25	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	1:3

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