Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.2
	1.91	3.75	3.3
	2.01	3.57	3.49
	2.01	3.36	3.44	Watch
	2.04	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.59)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	3.34 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
46.1%

Draw
26.5%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.6%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego Loyal's form might have worsened.

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Diego Loyal - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (16.39%), project points - 56, currently - 11, a good chance of playoffs (91%), a good chance of qtrs (52%), a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (14%), a small chance of win league (8%).

Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 5 (11.93%), project points - 47, currently - 5, a good chance of playoffs (80%), a chance of qtrs (43%), a chance of semis (22%), a small chance of final (11%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has small quality 22, small importance 11, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Tampa Bay have a series of home games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
15.04.23	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	San Diego Loyal - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
05.04.23	San Diego Loyal - Albion San Diego	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWTL
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
12.04.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
04.04.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - NONA	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Diego Loyal	2:3

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