Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)


	New Mexico United		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.35	3.4	2.7
	2.34	3.5	2.9
	2.35	3.32	2.79	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.79 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
39.6%

Draw
27.5%

San Diego Loyal
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (15.91%), project points - 56, currently - 10, a good chance of playoffs (90%), a good chance of qtrs (51%), a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (13%), a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 15, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

San Diego Loyal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
08.04.23	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	4:2 ✺
US Open Cup
04.04.23	New Mexico United - UDA Soccer	6:0 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Miami - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LWLWL
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
08.04.23	San Diego Loyal - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
05.04.23	San Diego Loyal - Albion San Diego	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
01.04.23	Phoenix Rising - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.10.22	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	3:3
07.05.22	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1
17.10.21	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	1:1

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