Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)


	Sacramento Republic		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.3
	2.02	3.4	3.3
	1.94	3.44	3.86
	1.91	3.48	3.64
	1.94	3.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.51 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
47.3%

Draw
26.6%

San Diego Loyal
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 6 (11.04%), project points - 51, currently - 4, a good chance of playoffs (81%), a chance of qtrs (40%), a chance of semis (20%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (19.22%), project points - 57, currently - 6, a good chance of playoffs (91%), a good chance of qtrs (53%), a chance of semis (28%), a small chance of final (15%), a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has small quality 21, small importance 12, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1.

Sacramento Republic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
18.03.23	Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.23	Chicago Fire - Sacramento Republic	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
29.10.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ET ✺
22.10.22	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
19.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	San Diego Loyal - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.10.22	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	4:0
19.03.22	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	2:0
30.10.21	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:1
09.10.21	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	2:1
28.08.21	Sacramento Republic - San Diego Loyal	1:3
03.07.21	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	1:1
01.08.20	San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic	0:0

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