Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Poggibonsi		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.35	2.08
	2.95	3.36	2.19
	2.98	3.3	2.16
	3	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 (2.98)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
30.5%

Draw
27.2%

Ghiviborgo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Poggibonsi - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ghiviborgo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poggibonsi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Poggibonsi - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
25.01.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Poggibonsi	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Poggibonsi - Siena	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Scandicci - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWLT
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
25.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Tau Altopascio - Ghiviborgo	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Trestina	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Camaiore - Ghiviborgo	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
28.09.25	Ghiviborgo - Poggibonsi	1:1

Poggibonsi - Ghiviborgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide