Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Poggibonsi		Siena

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.15	1.92
	4.06	3.27	1.85	Watch
	4	2.9	1.85
	4.29	3.18	1.81
	4	3.33	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.56)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
22.5%

Draw
28.5%

Siena
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.5%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.8%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Poggibonsi - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Martucci A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Siena is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Poggibonsi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siena	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Scandicci - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Poggibonsi - Cannara	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTWL
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Siena - Orvietana	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tau Altopascio - Siena	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Trestina - Siena	0:2 ✺
15.12.25	Siena - Camaiore	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Montevarchi - Siena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.25	Siena - Poggibonsi	2:0
23.02.25	Siena - Poggibonsi	0:0
23.10.24	Poggibonsi - Siena	1:1

Poggibonsi - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide