Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	San Fernando		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.11	3.13	3.8
	2.08	3.13	3.8
	2.05	3	3.1
	2.03	3.13	3.72
	2.01	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.58 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
44.9%

Draw
29.5%

Alcoyano
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

San Fernando - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 4. Farrando M. 5. Blanco C. 15. Ruiz V. 7. Biabiany J. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 21. Arroyo N. 11. Aquino D. 12. Selma D.	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 16. Farru 4. Vega A. 2. Ferriz P. 3. Nieto S. 6. Garcia I. 5. Albisua H. 8. Juanan 7. Armental A. 9. Pradera M.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 25. Davila Y. 20. Estacio X. 14. Fullana F. 32. Iago Souza 16. Leon C. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 17. Sanchez A.	10. Aguero 15. Eteme G. 25. Ferrero M. 11. Ganet P. 27. Herrada A. 14. Monreal J.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 15).

San Fernando is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcoyano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Fernando - Melilla	4:1 ✺
18.11.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	San Fernando - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.12.23	Alcoyano - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	2:1 ✺
29.11.23	Recreativo Huelva - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Alcoyano - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Málaga - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.03.22	San Fernando - Alcoyano	0:0
02.10.21	Alcoyano - San Fernando	0:2

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