Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Algeciras		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.9	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	1.96	3.08	4.34
	1.57	3.2	5
	1.93	3.08	4.27
	1.94	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	4.26 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
48.7%

Draw
29.9%

Melilla
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

29.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Algeciras - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 3. Vicente A. 23. Rodriguez J. 15. Diori Y. 11. Sanchez T. (C) 20. Garcia M. 6. Montes E. 17. Martin D. 10. Esteban Diego 7. Zequi 9. Cueto J.	1. Montoya J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Yuste A. 15. Martin D. 6. Hernandez P. 4. Suarez D. 18. Siddiki O. 10. Gonzalez J. 7. Garcia M. 9. Jose Enrique
Substitutes
5. Benavides C. 31. Dominiguez C. 4. Fernandez B. 26. Fernandez M. 13. Garcia L. (G) 25. Merchan D. 21. Milosevic S. 28. Navarro I. 2. Roldan R.	16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 22. Gnali J. 14. Marchena A. 21. Mateo J. 23. Niang M. 2. Pepe Romero 17. Perez S. 24. Serrano J. (G)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 4.

Algeciras is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Melilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Algeciras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Algeciras is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.01.24	Castellón - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
02.01.24	Algeciras - Recreativo Huelva	2:3 ✺
17.12.23	Málaga - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Antequera - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.24	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Melilla - Eibar	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.23	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Algeciras - Melilla	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.01.16	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.09.15	Melilla - Algeciras	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.08.15	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0
16.03.14	Melilla - Algeciras	1:0
30.10.13	Algeciras - Melilla	0:0

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