Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)


	Ibiza		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6	Watch
	1.43	4	6
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.21	7.43
	1.45	4.21	7.43
	1.36	3.8	6.5
	1.43	4.1	7.55
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	4.07 ↑ (3.3)	6.73 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
63.9%

Draw
22.5%

San Fernando
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Ibiza - San Fernando Predictions

Users Predictions: Ibiza will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sequeira P. (G) 17. Medina U. 22. Pepe 3. Olaortua I. 5. Jimenez J. 21. Eugeni 8. Fausto A. (C) 19. Soko P. 14. Gallar A. 10. Jamelli 9. Obolskiy N.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 25. Davila Y. 6. Molina D. 18. Naveira U. 7. Biabiany J. 11. Aquino D. 19. Martinez P.
Substitutes
11. Abde 6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 20. Arroyo R. 4. Bobadilla P. 7. Camara S. 23. Escassi A. 15. Menargues J. 12. Neskes 16. Olabe R. 18. Omoigui C. 1. Reynet B. (G)	13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 20. Estacio X. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 10. Ramos D. 15. Ruiz V. 17. Sanchez A. 12. Selma D.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13).

Ibiza in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ibiza is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ibiza to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	Ibiza - Antequera	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ceuta - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Ibiza - Castellón	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Melilla - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	San Fernando - Alcoyano	0:3 ✺
10.12.23	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Fernando - Melilla	4:1 ✺
18.11.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.03.19	Ibiza - San Fernando	1:1
14.10.18	San Fernando - Ibiza	2:0

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