Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	San Fernando		Castellón

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.73
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.5	3.5	1.75
	4.55	3.6	1.77
	4.52	3.53	1.81
	3.88	3.4	1.89
	4.1	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (2.9)	3.49 ↑ (3.24)	1.78 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
21.6%

Draw
26.4%

Castellón
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Fernando - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 20. Estacio X. 4. Farrando M. 23. Ramirez J. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Aquino D. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 14. Fullana F. 7. Biabiany J. 12. Selma D.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 18. Indias I. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 16. Sanchez M. 8. Gracia J. 23. Calavera J. 19. Villahermosa D. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Medunjanin H. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 25. Davila Y. 30. Duarte M. (G) 29. Fernandez I. 32. Iago Souza 16. Leon C. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 22. Oliva G. 9. Ribeiro 3. Ruiz L.	3. Anton J. 12. Chirino D. 11. De Leon J. 2. Granero B. 20. Gronning S. 5. Jimenez A. 7. Kastaneer G. 6. Rodriguez C. 13. Salvato A. (G) 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 33. Vertrouwd J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellón in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Castellón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.23	Linares Deportivo - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	San Fernando - Granada B	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - San Fernando	4:2 ✺
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	San Fernando - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.23	Castellón - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ceuta - Castellón	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Castellón - Mérida AD	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Recreativo Huelva - Castellón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.02.22	Castellón - San Fernando	1:3
23.10.21	San Fernando - Castellón	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	San Fernando - Castellón	0:2

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