Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	San Francisco		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.95
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	3.05	3.02	2.6
	2.8	3.14	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.39)	2.93 ↓ (3.24)	2.72 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Francisco
34.7%

Draw
31.4%

Independiente
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

19.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Francisco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Francisco - Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to LPF (Clausura to Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 1 in the zone Promotion to LPF (Clausura to Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Recent matches San Francisco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Francisco have a series of guest games.

In this match San Francisco is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches San Francisco won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams San Francisco won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Francisco FC
CONCACAF League
24.11.20	Alajuelense - San Francisco	1:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.11.20	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	Deportivo Universitario - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	San Francisco - Alianza Panama	0:0 ✺
30.10.20	Plaza Amador - San Francisco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTT
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Colón - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
28.11.20	Independiente - Atlético Chiriquí	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Independiente - Plaza Amador	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Independiente	1:4 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.11.20	Independiente - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.02.20	Independiente - San Francisco	1:1
18.10.19	San Francisco - Independiente	2:1
16.08.19	Independiente - San Francisco	0:1
01.06.19	San Francisco - Independiente	1:2 penalties
24.03.19	Independiente - San Francisco	2:2
01.02.19	San Francisco - Independiente	0:1
06.10.18	Independiente - San Francisco	0:1

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